At the end of round 2, I thought it would be good to do an update on the progress of the tournament, and look at some trends that have emerged.
One thing that I thought I would focus on is how the runs have been scored, rather than just how many.
I looked at each innings and looked at the total runs from boundaries, and the total other runs (I called them run runs, but they include no balls and wides, as they were too hard to separate).
I plotted them on a graph, to see if there were any interesting patterns emerge.
There were a couple of things that I noticed. Auckland, Otago, Wellington and Canterbury have all had similar rates across the different innings that they've batted, while Northern Districts and Central Districts have had more variety in how they've accumulated their runs.
The triangles seemed to be higher up the chart on average, with all of them being above the median boundary rate, so I thought that I'd see if there was a correlation between the rates and the total competition points gathered in a match.
There is a reasonably strong relationship between the boundary rate and the points earned in a match, however, there's almost no relationship at all between the speed of accumulation of non-boundary runs and the points earned.
There is a theory that regularly rotating the strike makes it easier to survive a match, as it doesn't allow the bowlers to settle. I certainly know that I hated batsmen hitting singles off my bowling, and I remember Dale Steyn saying in a press conference something to the effect of "I don't mind dropped catches that much. Dropped catches happen. But I get really upset when a fielder lets a batsman get off strike when I had him under pressure."
Of the 7 innings played by a losing side, 5 of them had a run-runs rate below the median. That made me wonder if there was a pattern there. I looked at the final innings by teams that batted out a draw or lost, and looked to see if there was a difference in the rates for the teams that lost vs the teams that drew.
This graph isn't particularly meaningful at the moment, with only 5 innings to look at, but I intend on building this up as the season goes on.
Looking at it as individual points makes it more clear:
I've circled the point at the bottom, because that was an innings where Canterbury lost their last wicket with only 6 balls remaining, and so it was very close to being a saved match. Interestingly the teams that have scored a lot of boundaries have lost, but it is a very small sample to be drawing too many conclusions from.
The final table, with other information, looks like this:
This made me wonder which correlation was stronger, scoring rate with total points, or the traditional value of Net Average Runs Per Wicket (batting average minus bowling average).
The Net Average Runs Per Wicket seems to be a better predictor of success, but there is a clear relationship with the scoring rate also.
I'll be interested to see how these develop as the season progresses, but for now we seem to have a separation between the sides, with Auckland, Canterbury and Otago all needing to find another gear for the next round.
Showing posts with label Scoring Quickly. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Scoring Quickly. Show all posts
Sunday, 21 October 2018
Wednesday, 1 January 2014
A quick look at the Anderson innings
Corey Anderson has been talked of as the big hope for New Zealand cricket for about 7 years.
He was signed to a national contract when he was still at school to make sure he didn't chose to play rugby, a sport in which he also excelled.
He was one of only a few New Zealand players to play first class cricket while still at school since the Second World War.
And yet so far in his international career he has failed to make a splash. Until today.
Today he broke Shahid Afridi's record for the fastest ODI hundred by smiting the West Indies for 131* off 47 balls. The first 101 of which came up off only 36 balls. I honestly thought Afridi's record would never be broken, but I guess you should never say never.
Here's the full 47 balls, for those of you who are interested:
1 . 4 1 . 1 6 1 . 2 1 4 6 1 6 6 . 6 . 6 1 . . 6 6 6 6 6 1 . 1 4 4 1 1 6 6 4 1 2 4 1 6 1 2 2 1
The first question that came to my mind was how does this innings compare to other great innings of the past.
I came up with a formula that I've used a number of times before to quantify how good a limited overs innings is. Basically the score is either squared if they are out or multiplied by 5 more than itself if they are not out, then divided by the balls faced. It rewards both big scores and quick scoring. It isn't perfect, as it doesn't take into account the state of the match, the quality of the opposition the importance of the game or the conditions that the match is played in. However, it is the best simple system that I know of, so it's the one that I use.
I put Anderson's innings into the formula and then compared it to all other big innings that were scored quickly. For this comparison I looked at every innings where a batsman scored more than 75 at a strike rate of more than 110.
Here are the top 20:
The first name on the list is Corey Anderson's. This innings overcame Watson's demolition of Bangladesh from 2011.
I've also included "Viv Points." This is a comparison with what many people still consider the greatest innings of all time, Viv Richards vs Sri Lanka in 1987. 100 points means that it was equivalent to Viv's innings.
Incidentally at 43rd on the list was the innings that happened at the other end, Jesse Ryder's 104 off 51 balls. It was also one of the greatest innings in ODI history, but it was completely overshadowed by the outstanding innings from Anderson.
It's still early days in Corey Anderson's career. There have been plenty of players who have had a very good day in an international match (You may notice Charles Coventry and Lou Vincent's name in the above list as evidence of this) but he has now shown that the potential that the selectors saw all those years ago when he was a teenager is closer to being realised.
There are lots of things that can be said about this innings. Poor bowling, small boundaries, big bats etc, but they can't take away from the incredible pace that Anderson managed to score at. It really was a sensational innings.
He was signed to a national contract when he was still at school to make sure he didn't chose to play rugby, a sport in which he also excelled.
He was one of only a few New Zealand players to play first class cricket while still at school since the Second World War.
And yet so far in his international career he has failed to make a splash. Until today.
Today he broke Shahid Afridi's record for the fastest ODI hundred by smiting the West Indies for 131* off 47 balls. The first 101 of which came up off only 36 balls. I honestly thought Afridi's record would never be broken, but I guess you should never say never.
Here's the full 47 balls, for those of you who are interested:
1 . 4 1 . 1 6 1 . 2 1 4 6 1 6 6 . 6 . 6 1 . . 6 6 6 6 6 1 . 1 4 4 1 1 6 6 4 1 2 4 1 6 1 2 2 1
The first question that came to my mind was how does this innings compare to other great innings of the past.
I came up with a formula that I've used a number of times before to quantify how good a limited overs innings is. Basically the score is either squared if they are out or multiplied by 5 more than itself if they are not out, then divided by the balls faced. It rewards both big scores and quick scoring. It isn't perfect, as it doesn't take into account the state of the match, the quality of the opposition the importance of the game or the conditions that the match is played in. However, it is the best simple system that I know of, so it's the one that I use.
I put Anderson's innings into the formula and then compared it to all other big innings that were scored quickly. For this comparison I looked at every innings where a batsman scored more than 75 at a strike rate of more than 110.
Here are the top 20:
| Player | Score | vs | Year | Modified | Viv Points |
| Corey J Anderson (NZ) | 131* (47) | v West Indies | 2014 | 379.06 | 144.6 |
| SR Watson (Aus) | 185* (96) | v Bangladesh | 2011 | 366.15 | 139.7 |
| MV Boucher (SA) | 147* (68) | v Zimbabwe | 2006 | 328.59 | 125.4 |
| V Sehwag (India) | 219 (149) | v West Indies | 2011 | 321.89 | 122.8 |
| SR Tendulkar (India) | 200* (147) | v South Africa | 2010 | 278.91 | 106.4 |
| RG Sharma (India) | 209 (158) | v Australia | 2013 | 276.46 | 105.5 |
| ST Jayasuriya (SL) | 134 (65) | v Pakistan | 1996 | 276.25 | 105.4 |
| HH Gibbs (SA) | 175 (111) | v Australia | 2006 | 275.9 | 105.3 |
| IVA Richards (WI) | 181 (125) | v Sri Lanka | 1987 | 262.09 | 100 |
| Shahid Afridi (Pak) | 102 (40) | v Sri Lanka | 1996 | 260.1 | 99.2 |
| Saeed Anwar (Pak) | 194 (146) | v India | 1997 | 257.78 | 98.4 |
| Shahid Afridi (Pak) | 124 (60) | v Bangladesh | 2010 | 256.27 | 97.8 |
| RT Ponting (Aus) | 164 (105) | v South Africa | 2006 | 256.15 | 97.7 |
| Yuvraj Singh (India) | 138* (78) | v England | 2008 | 253 | 96.5 |
| CK Coventry (Zim) | 194* (156) | v Bangladesh | 2009 | 247.47 | 94.4 |
| L Vincent (NZ) | 172 (120) | v Zimbabwe | 2005 | 246.53 | 94.1 |
| BB McCullum (NZ) | 80* (28) | v Bangladesh | 2007 | 242.86 | 92.7 |
| Ijaz Ahmed (Pak) | 139* (84) | v India | 1997 | 238.29 | 90.9 |
| MS Dhoni (India) | 183* (145) | v Sri Lanka | 2005 | 237.27 | 90.5 |
| ST Jayasuriya (SL) | 157 (104) | v Netherlands | 2006 | 237.01 | 90.4 |
The first name on the list is Corey Anderson's. This innings overcame Watson's demolition of Bangladesh from 2011.
I've also included "Viv Points." This is a comparison with what many people still consider the greatest innings of all time, Viv Richards vs Sri Lanka in 1987. 100 points means that it was equivalent to Viv's innings.
Incidentally at 43rd on the list was the innings that happened at the other end, Jesse Ryder's 104 off 51 balls. It was also one of the greatest innings in ODI history, but it was completely overshadowed by the outstanding innings from Anderson.
It's still early days in Corey Anderson's career. There have been plenty of players who have had a very good day in an international match (You may notice Charles Coventry and Lou Vincent's name in the above list as evidence of this) but he has now shown that the potential that the selectors saw all those years ago when he was a teenager is closer to being realised.
There are lots of things that can be said about this innings. Poor bowling, small boundaries, big bats etc, but they can't take away from the incredible pace that Anderson managed to score at. It really was a sensational innings.
Monday, 16 December 2013
Warner in Perth
I have written before about how impressed I am with David Warner's running between wickets. I genuinely believe that he is one of the best at judging a run that I've seen.
Accordingly I was surprised to see that he had scored the same number of singles as boundaries in the second innings at Perth. I also heard the commentators describe it as a typical innings from Warner. It made me wonder if it actually was a typical innings.
First of all I looked at how Warner compared to other batsmen. The method I chose to look at was to compare the boundary percentage (boundaries per delivery) and the activity rate (runs scored per non-boundary delivery). I filtered out any batsman who hadn't faced more than 650 deliveries since 2000, hadn't hit more than 50 fours and hadn't played in the past 2 years. I then put the rest of the batsmen on a single graph.
I divided up the batsmen into 4 categories. Aggressive, Block Bash, Pushers and Defensive. Close to the extremes of each group were players who have been reasonably successful.
In the defensive group are players like Rahul Dravid, Peter Fulton, Tino Mawoyo, Ed Cowan and JP Duminy.
Block Bash contains Angelo Mathews, Shane Watson, Chris Gayle and Yuvraj Singh.
Pushers includes Kane Williamson, Shiv Chanderpaul, Jonathan Trott and Thilan Samaraweera.
Aggressive include Ricky Ponting, Sachin Tendulkar, Darren Sammy and David Warner.
Warner has a higher activity rate than anyone in the list. But he also hits more boundaries than most batsmen.
Warner's activity rate for his career is 0.353 and his boundary rate is 9.3%. His innings in Perth lasted 140 deliveries. We would expect 13 boundaries, perhaps 12 fours and 1 six. Off the other 127 deliveries we would expect him to score 45 runs. Overall we would expect that he would be on about 99, rather than 112, so he scored slightly faster than we would expect, but the big difference was the make up of the innings.
Warner scored 80 runs in boundaries. That's about 40% more than we would normally expect him to get.
I used the same graph as above, to analyse Warner's other innings. I've included every innings where Warner has scored more than 30. I've drawn in lines to show which group the innings would have fit in.
We can see that Warner's innings does fit in with some of his other innings, but really is closer to the Block Bash quadrant than almost any of his other innings.
It was an interesting innings, because of the context and the opponent, but also because of the way that he scored the runs.
Accordingly I was surprised to see that he had scored the same number of singles as boundaries in the second innings at Perth. I also heard the commentators describe it as a typical innings from Warner. It made me wonder if it actually was a typical innings.
First of all I looked at how Warner compared to other batsmen. The method I chose to look at was to compare the boundary percentage (boundaries per delivery) and the activity rate (runs scored per non-boundary delivery). I filtered out any batsman who hadn't faced more than 650 deliveries since 2000, hadn't hit more than 50 fours and hadn't played in the past 2 years. I then put the rest of the batsmen on a single graph.
I divided up the batsmen into 4 categories. Aggressive, Block Bash, Pushers and Defensive. Close to the extremes of each group were players who have been reasonably successful.
In the defensive group are players like Rahul Dravid, Peter Fulton, Tino Mawoyo, Ed Cowan and JP Duminy.
Block Bash contains Angelo Mathews, Shane Watson, Chris Gayle and Yuvraj Singh.
Pushers includes Kane Williamson, Shiv Chanderpaul, Jonathan Trott and Thilan Samaraweera.
Aggressive include Ricky Ponting, Sachin Tendulkar, Darren Sammy and David Warner.
Warner has a higher activity rate than anyone in the list. But he also hits more boundaries than most batsmen.
Warner's activity rate for his career is 0.353 and his boundary rate is 9.3%. His innings in Perth lasted 140 deliveries. We would expect 13 boundaries, perhaps 12 fours and 1 six. Off the other 127 deliveries we would expect him to score 45 runs. Overall we would expect that he would be on about 99, rather than 112, so he scored slightly faster than we would expect, but the big difference was the make up of the innings.
Warner scored 80 runs in boundaries. That's about 40% more than we would normally expect him to get.
I used the same graph as above, to analyse Warner's other innings. I've included every innings where Warner has scored more than 30. I've drawn in lines to show which group the innings would have fit in.
We can see that Warner's innings does fit in with some of his other innings, but really is closer to the Block Bash quadrant than almost any of his other innings.
It was an interesting innings, because of the context and the opponent, but also because of the way that he scored the runs.
Thursday, 25 April 2013
How good was Gayle's demolition of Pune
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| Chris Gayle, picture from RCB's Flickr stream |
He is without question an incredible player, and is an absolute phenomenon in the IPL.
But how good was that innings in the context of the rest of the IPL? I heard some people say that it was meaningless, because the pitches and grounds in India are so easy to score runs on, and the bowlers in the IPL aren't up to much. I heartily disagree with both of these statements, but the only real way to look at the innings is to look at how others have gone in similar conditions.
To do this I'm using my modified batting index for each innings. This system rewards scoring runs, and being not out, but adjusts it for the number of deliveries faced. To put these scores in context an index of 100 would be 70*(49) or 60(33). It doesn't take into account the context of the match, so there can be some high scores that cost a team, and low ones that win a match, but I think it's better than just looking at the runs scored or the strike rate by themselves.
Here's the top 20 innings in the IPL so far this year:
| Name | Score | For | Against | At | Index |
| CH Gayle | 175* (66) | RCB | Warriors | Bangalore | 464.02 |
| V Kohli | 93* (47) | RCB | Sunrisers | Bangalore | 184.02 |
| SR Watson | 101 (61) | Royals | Super Kings | Chennai | 158.95 |
| V Sehwag | 95* (57) | Daredevils | Mum Indians | Delhi | 158.33 |
| DA Miller | 80* (41) | Kings XI | Warriors | Mohali | 156.1 |
| CH Gayle | 92* (58) | RCB | Mum Indians | Bangalore | 145.93 |
| KD Karthik | 86 (48) | Mum Indians | Daredevils | Mumbai | 145.13 |
| CH Gayle | 85* (50) | RCB | KKR | Bangalore | 144.5 |
| MEK Hussey | 88 (51) | Super Kings | Royals | Chennai | 143.22 |
| MEK Hussey | 86* (54) | Super Kings | Kings XI | Mohali | 136.96 |
| RG Sharma | 62* (32) | Mum Indians | Warriors | Mumbai | 120.13 |
| AB de Villiers | 64 (32) | RCB | Super Kings | Chennai | 118 |
| RG Sharma | 73 (43) | Mum Indians | Daredevils | Delhi | 115.44 |
| RG Sharma | 74* (50) | Mum Indians | Daredevils | Mumbai | 109.52 |
| Mandeep Singh | 77* (58) | Kings XI | Warriors | Mohali | 102.22 |
| AB de Villiers | 31 (8) | RCB | Warriors | Bangalore | 100.75 |
| DA Warner | 77 (56) | Daredevils | Royals | Delhi | 99 |
| LJ Wright | 34 (10) | Warriors | Kings XI | Mohali | 98.6 |
| SPD Smith | 39* (16) | Warriors | Super Kings | Chennai | 95.06 |
| EJG Morgan | 47 (21) | KKR | Sunrisers | Kolkata | 94 |
There's a significant distance between Gayle and the next best innings.
Another way to look at it is to look at what percentage of Gayle's index each innings got. Here's the top 10:
| Name | Score | Gayle points |
| CH Gayle | 175* (66) | 100 |
| V Kohli | 93* (47) | 40 |
| SR Watson | 101 (61) | 34 |
| V Sehwag | 95* (57) | 34 |
| DA Miller | 80* (41) | 34 |
| CH Gayle | 92* (58) | 31 |
| KD Karthik | 86 (48) | 31 |
| CH Gayle | 85* (50) | 31 |
| MEK Hussey | 88 (51) | 31 |
| MEK Hussey | 86* (54) | 30 |
How about how it stacks up against all T20 innings anywhere:
| Name | Score | For | Against | At | Index |
| CH Gayle | 175* (66) | RCB | Warriors | Bangalore | 464.02 |
| LP van der Westhuizen | 145 (50) | Namibia | Kenya | Windhoek | 406 |
| GR Napier | 152* (58) | Essex | Sussex | Chelmsford | 398.34 |
| BB McCullum | 158* (73) | KKR | RCB | Bangalore | 341.97 |
| CL White | 141* (70) | Somerset | Worcs | Worcester | 284.01 |
| A Symonds | 112 (43) | Kent | Middlesex | Maidstone | 278.7 |
| M Vijay | 127 (56) | Super Kings | Royals | Chennai | 276.68 |
| ST Jayasuriya | 114* (48) | Mum Indians | Super Kings | Mumbai | 270.75 |
| SB Styris | 100* (37) | Sussex | Gloucs | Hove | 270.27 |
| RE Levi | 117* (51) | South Africa | New Zealand | Hamilton | 268.41 |
| CG Williams | 116 (48) | Namibia | Scotland | Windhoek | 268.25 |
| CH Gayle | 128* (62) | RCB | Daredevils | Delhi | 264.26 |
| DA Warner | 135* (69) | NSW | Super Kings | Chennai | 264.13 |
| H Davids | 112* (48) | Cape Cobras | Warriors | Cape Town | 261.33 |
| KJ O'Brien | 119 (52) | Gloucs | Middlesex | Uxbridge | 260.88 |
| Ahmed Shehzad | 113* (49) | Barisal | Rajshahi | Dhaka | 260.59 |
| A Symonds | 117* (53) | Chargers | Royals | Hyderabad (Deccan) | 258.28 |
| YK Pathan | 100 (37) | Royals | Mum Indians | Mumbai (BS) | 256.76 |
| CL White | 116* (53) | Somerset | Gloucs | Taunton | 253.89 |
| AC Gilchrist | 109* (47) | Chargers | Mum Indians | Mumbai | 252.79 |
And then the "Gayle Points" for the top 20 innings of all time:
| Name | Score | Gayle points |
| CH Gayle | 175* (66) | 100 |
| LP van der Westhuizen | 145 (50) | 87 |
| GR Napier | 152* (58) | 86 |
| BB McCullum | 158* (73) | 74 |
| CL White | 141* (70) | 61 |
| A Symonds | 112 (43) | 60 |
| M Vijay | 127 (56) | 60 |
| ST Jayasuriya | 114* (48) | 58 |
| SB Styris | 100* (37) | 58 |
| RE Levi | 117* (51) | 58 |
| CG Williams | 116 (48) | 58 |
| CH Gayle | 128* (62) | 57 |
| DA Warner | 135* (69) | 57 |
| H Davids | 112* (48) | 56 |
| KJ O'Brien | 119 (52) | 56 |
| Ahmed Shehzad | 113* (49) | 56 |
| A Symonds | 117* (53) | 56 |
| YK Pathan | 100 (37) | 55 |
| CL White | 116* (53) | 55 |
| AC Gilchrist | 109* (47) | 54 |
How good was Gayle's innings? It was about 14% better than the next best innings ever. That's how good it was.
Friday, 8 March 2013
Mini-session Analysis 1st test SL Ban Galle 2013
A mini-session is (normally) half a session, either between the start of the session and the drinks break or the drinks break and the end of the session. Occasionally a long session will have 3 mini-sessions where it will be broken up with 2 drinks breaks.
| Mini-Session | Score | Winner |
| 1-1a | Sri Lanka 60/0 off 11 | Sri Lanka |
| 1-1b | Sri Lanka 72/1 off 15 | Sri Lanka |
| 1-2a | Sri Lanka 55/1 off 15 | Sri Lanka |
| 1-2b | Sri Lanka 60/0 off 18 | Sri Lanka |
| 1-3a | Sri Lanka 64/1 off 17 | Sri Lanka |
| 1-3b | Sri Lanka 50/0 off 9.3 | Sri Lanka |
| 2-1a | Sri Lanka 32/1 off 17.3 | Bangladesh |
| 2-1b | Sri Lanka 68/0 off 15 | Sri Lanka |
| 2-2a | Sri Lanka 97/0 off 14 | Sri Lanka |
| 2-2b | Sri Lanka 12/0 off 3 | Sri Lanka |
| Bangladesh 23/1 off 9 | ||
| 2-3a | Bangladesh 42/1 off 15 | draw |
| 2-3b | Bangladesh 70/0 off 19 | Bangladesh |
| 3-1a | Bangladesh 49/2 off 14 | Sri Lanka |
| 3-1b | Bangladesh 40/0 off 16 | Bangladesh |
| 3-2a | Bangladesh 61/0 off 17 | Bangladesh |
| 3-2b | Bangladesh 45/0 off 16 | Bangladesh |
| 3-3a | Bangladesh 56/0 off 18 | Bangladesh |
| 3-3b | Bangladesh 52/0 off 12 | Bangladesh |
| 4-1a | Bangladesh 45/1 off 15 | draw |
| 4-1b | Bangladesh 63/0 off 15 | Bangladesh |
| 4-2a | Bangladesh 43/2 off 14 | Sri Lanka |
| 4-2b | Bangladesh 49/3 off 16 | Sri Lanka |
| 4-3a | Sri Lanka 44/1 off 12 | Sri Lanka |
| 4-3b | Sri Lanka 72/0 off 18 | Sri Lanka |
| 5-1a | Sri Lanka 51/0 off 14 | Sri Lanka |
| 5-1b | Sri Lanka 63/0 off 16 | Sri Lanka |
| 5-2a | Sri Lanka 53/2 off 16 | Bangladesh |
| 5-2b | Sri Lanka 52/1 off 7 | draw |
| 5-3a | Bangladesh 51/1 off 15 | Bangladesh |
Final update, click here
Sri Lanka take the mini-session count 16 - 10
First drinks, Day 1: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 1-0
Sri Lanka have started off with a hiss and a roar. Dilshan is treating it almost like a T20 match. This could get messy. - Mykuhl
Lunch, Day 1: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 2-0
A wicket fell, 72 runs were scored, but for me the highlight was when Karunaratne came back out at the fall of the first wicket. I really enjoy watching him bat, and wasn't very happy with the idea of him not being able to play. - Mykuhl
Middle drinks, Day 1: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 3-0
I have watched an entire ODI series where there was not a single innings that went at this run rate. Sri Lanka going at slightly more than a run a minute, despite Bangladesh bowling less than 14 overs per hour. - Mykuhl
Stumps, Day 1: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 6-0
Sri Lanka roll on. They have scored at over 4 an over, and more than a run a minute. Sangakkara was immense, as usual. When he's in Sri Lanka he is just outstanding. - Mykuhl
First drinks, Day 2: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 6-1
A good hour for Bangladesh, but it could have been a very good hour as Chandimal was dropped twice. How costly could that be. He's not a batsman that you really want to give extra chances to as he is really capable of punishing teams. - Mykuhl
Lunch, Day 2: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 7-1
Normal service resumes. Bangladesh spend another hour chasing leather. It might be a reflection of the quality of the bowling and batting, but this pitch doesn't seem to have offered a fair enough contest between bat and ball. With Sri Lanka having Eranga in their team and Bangladesh's batting being dominated by right handers, it might have been more sensible for the groundsman to have left some more grass on the wicket. - Mykuhl
Middle drinks, Day 2: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 8-1
It seemed like a bad idea at the time to drop Chandimal. It now seems like a very, very bad idea. Sri Lanka are giving the Bangladeshi bowlers what some people pay a dominatrix a lot of money for. - Mykuhl
Tea, Day 2: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 9-1
The declaration was probably slightly earlier than normal, but 570 runs is probably going to be enough. Bangladesh are going to have to bat very well here. They are already one down, and it was Eranga that struck. He seems to have added something to his bowling in this innings, bowling a little quicker, and getting some to move in, rather than out. He may well be turning into a genuinely classy test opening bowler. Hopefully the Sri Lankan groundsmen don't work him into the ground by giving him too many mud pitches to bowl on. - Mykuhl
Final drinks, Day 2: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 9-1
It would have been Bangladesh's hour if it wasn't for the last ball where Anamul Haque was deceived by a Mendis googly. As a bowler who never quite had enough control to rely on a stock delivery, and so bowled a number of variations, I do like it when Mendis gets a wicket, especially when it's with a googly. The batsman sets up for the off break, notices that the ball's actually been delivered with a leg-break action, so adjusts, only for it to come in anyway. It's a brilliant double cross by the bowler. However, it only works if the batsman is watching closely, but not quite closely enough. - Mykuhl
Stumps, Day 2: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 9-2
An interesting hour there. Ashraful was going for it in order to get through to his fifty. He had 54 off 68 balls, but then went into his shell, and actually started playing like a test batsman who wanted to see out the day. He scored only 11 runs off the last 40 balls. If he continues to bat like a batsman, and has some success it might actually (finally) be the making of him. - Mykuhl
First drinks, Day 3: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 10-2
When Mahmadullah played as a bowler, the thing that really impressed me was how serious he was about his batting. He approached it like a real batsman, waiting for the right ball to hit, knowing his areas. It was something that most of the Bangladeshi batsmen couldn't really be accused of. Now that he's primarily playing as a batsman he comes down the track and has a wild heave fifth ball. I guess if he was going to bat like a batsman when he was a bowler, he probably felt he could bat like a bowler now that he is a batsman. - Mykuhl
Lunch, Day 3: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 10-3
Mohammad Ashraful is playing the sort of innings that we've been waiting to see. Not a swashbuckling run-a-minute flight of fancy, but a proper innings where he punishes the bad balls, and accumulates when the ball is in his area. It's all rather exciting, even if it has 45 test after he should have. I guess it's better late than never. Hopefully this innings informs how he plays from now on. - Mykuhl
Middle drinks, Day 3: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 10-4
This is good cricket from Bangladesh. They are fighting hard. Mushfiqur Rahim is a real fighter with the bat. In his last 10 innings this is the 7th time he's made it past 35. He's not prepared to throw his wicket away. - Mykuhl
Tea, Day 3: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 10-5
Sri Lanka are not bowling particularly badly. They have had some bad luck, with a number of balls going past the edge. While this partnership is fantastic, it still feels like a devastating collapse is possible any second now. - Mykuhl
Stumps, Day 3: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 10-7
This is now Bangladesh's highest partnership, Ashraful has the highest score by any Bangladeshi batsman, and Mushfiqur Rahim is only 6 runs off second spot. Bangladesh are now in a position where they might even be able to consider declaring behind, to make Sri Lanka give them a target. They wouldn't want to do that until they have some more runs on the board, and have used up some time, but an attacking option like that may be a very good one for their future. - Mykuhl
Stumps, Day 4: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 14-8
Bangladesh managed to bat themselves into what looks like a no-lose position. Unfortunately it's also probably a no win position also. Perhaps the decision of the board to offer draw bonuses was a good one. Suddenly there is an incentive for their players to play for time, and, in putting a value on their wicket, they started to look like a proper test team. They still have a lot to thank the groundsman for, but they have folded on good batting tracks in the past, so it's good to see them actually applying themselves. - Mykuhl
First drinks, Day 5: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 15-8
Another hour of bowlers getting dealt to. It's not like the Sri Lankan batsmen are slogging, or going particularly crazily. It's just that they are scoring 30% faster than normal test batsmen would, and doing it without many risks. - Mykuhl
Lunch, Day 5: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 16-8
Another relentless hour of Sri Lanka batting. They have now scored 800 runs for the loss of 5 wickets. To put that in context, Bangladesh just had their best ever innings, and scored 638 runs for 10 wickets. If Sri Lanka keep batitng at this rate for another 14 overs then declare, Bangladesh would need to get 222 runs off 44 overs. Bangldesh have a history of crumbling in run chases, so that might be an option that Mathews might consider. Sometimes you need to use some bait if you want to catch a fish. - Mykuhl
Tea, Day 5: Sri Lanka lead the mini-session count 16-9
Sri Lanka batted well in this match, but they have batted the result out of contention. Baring a miracle new ball spell from Kulasekera and Eranga, Bangladesh will hold on for a draw, but they are not going to chase this target. - Mykuhl
End of the match, Day 5: Sri Lanka take the mini-session count 16-10, but the match is drawn.
Bangladesh get a creditable draw. Sri Lanka could have made a game of it by declaring at drinks. However if they wanted to do that they should have come out and really attacked the bowling during that hour between lunch and drinks.
There's no dishonour in the draw for either team, but there are questions over both teams heading into the next match. Can Sri Lanka improve their execution, take their missed chances and find a way through the Bangladesh line-up? For Bangladesh: can they back up one good performance with another?
Whatever happens, I hope the groundsman is going to prepare a pitch with some life in it at Premadasa. - Mykuhl
Monday, 12 December 2011
The Sehwag and Watson show
This week has witnessed a quite remarkable innings. Sehwag has achieved a score of 214 in a One Day International. That's quite a lot of runs. And scored at a good clip too. So how does it compare to other scores this year?
Well obviously he scored more than everybody else, but the nature of ODI's is that just scoring runs is not the only thing. As well as wickets, deliveries are also a vital resource. One way that I like to check on the effective score is to square the runs scored and divide by the deliveries faced. This way someone that scores faster than a run a ball gets benefit, while someone that scores slower gets their score reduced. This allows us to compare innings like 114 off 121 vs 89 off 75. Which is the most effective. 114 x 114 / 121 = 107.40 while 89 x 89 / 75 = 105.61 so the 114 is better, but only a little bit. While this method is not perfect, I think it is quite easy to understand, and is an interesting metric for analysing scores.
So here are the top 20 scores this year, sorted by this method:
Watson, Sehwag, Pollard and Stirling all have two entries on the list. Interestingly Pollard's century is not there, but two fifties are. Unsurprisingly most of the scores are at grounds that have a history of being batsmen friendly, but Jayawardene's innings was at Heddingly, which has the opposite reputation, so it is to be singled out as being quite an extraordinary innings. The Williamson knock was one that probably passed most people by, but the fascinating thing about that one was the he was on 93 when he faced the final ball of the match. He managed to hit a no ball for 4 and then hit the bonus delivery for 3.
Well obviously he scored more than everybody else, but the nature of ODI's is that just scoring runs is not the only thing. As well as wickets, deliveries are also a vital resource. One way that I like to check on the effective score is to square the runs scored and divide by the deliveries faced. This way someone that scores faster than a run a ball gets benefit, while someone that scores slower gets their score reduced. This allows us to compare innings like 114 off 121 vs 89 off 75. Which is the most effective. 114 x 114 / 121 = 107.40 while 89 x 89 / 75 = 105.61 so the 114 is better, but only a little bit. While this method is not perfect, I think it is quite easy to understand, and is an interesting metric for analysing scores.
So here are the top 20 scores this year, sorted by this method:
| Name | Runs | Balls | Effective score | |
| SR Watson (Aus) | 185* | 96 | v Bangladesh at Dhaka | 356.51 |
| V Sehwag (India) | 219 | 149 | v West Indies at Indore | 321.89 |
| V Sehwag (India) | 175 | 140 | v Bangladesh at Dhaka | 218.75 |
| KJ O'Brien (Ire) | 113 | 63 | v England at Bangalore | 202.68 |
| AB de Villiers (SA) | 134 | 98 | v Netherlands at Mohali | 183.22 |
| SR Watson (Aus) | 161* | 150 | v England at Melbourne | 172.81 |
| AJ Strauss (Eng) | 158 | 145 | v India at Bangalore | 172.17 |
| Shahid Afridi (Pak) | 65 | 25 | v New Zealand at Christchurch | 169.00 |
| KA Pollard (WI) | 94 | 55 | v Ireland at Mohali | 160.65 |
| TM Dilshan (SL) | 144 | 131 | v Zimbabwe at Pallekele | 158.29 |
| YK Pathan (India) | 105 | 70 | v South Africa at Centurion | 157.50 |
| IJL Trott (Eng) | 137 | 126 | v Australia at Sydney | 148.96 |
| KS Williamson (NZ) | 100* | 69 | v Zimbabwe at Bulawayo | 144.93 |
| PR Stirling (Ire) | 101 | 72 | v Netherlands at Kolkata | 141.68 |
| LRPL Taylor (NZ) | 131* | 124 | v Pakistan at Pallekele | 138.40 |
| DPMD Jayawardene (SL) | 144 | 150 | v England at Leeds | 138.24 |
| BRM Taylor (Zim) | 128* | 120 | v New Zealand at Harare | 136.53 |
| RD Berrington (Scot) | 56 | 23 | v Ireland at Edinburgh | 136.35 |
| PR Stirling (Ire) | 113 | 95 | v Scotland at Edinburgh | 134.41 |
| KA Pollard (WI) | 60 | 27 | v Netherlands at Delhi | 133.33 |
Watson, Sehwag, Pollard and Stirling all have two entries on the list. Interestingly Pollard's century is not there, but two fifties are. Unsurprisingly most of the scores are at grounds that have a history of being batsmen friendly, but Jayawardene's innings was at Heddingly, which has the opposite reputation, so it is to be singled out as being quite an extraordinary innings. The Williamson knock was one that probably passed most people by, but the fascinating thing about that one was the he was on 93 when he faced the final ball of the match. He managed to hit a no ball for 4 and then hit the bonus delivery for 3.
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