A couple of thoughts about the Adelaide match.
1. Adelaide tends to be a good ground for players that are strong playing square of the wicket. Batsmen like Pietersen and Haddin might be good to look at for a top run scorer bet. Likewise Trott is in good form, and hit 78 in the test match here, so at $5 he's not a bad option.
2. Adalaide has been a stronghold for Australia, winning almost 3/4 of the matches played here. They have a RPO of about 0.4 more than their opponents at this ground.
3. It's normally a bat first pitch. (Australia have only lost 4 times out of the 18 times they have batted first in Adelaide. This is a good sign for England, who have won the toss and batted.
4. 272 is the median score for a team batting first and winning at Adelaide over the last 10 years. Les Burdett tends to produce fairly uniform pitches, so this is likely to be about what England will need to win.
OK - I hope everyone put money on Trott, and England. If you had put $10 on every suggestion on this site so far, you would have spent $50 and returned $69. A 38% return isn't a bad start.
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